Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.874641e-05 0.000045 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000080 0.000091
2025-02-09 3.009798e-05 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000075 0.000091 0.000110
2025-02-16 2.642769e-05 0.000037 0.000049 0.000065 0.000084 0.000106 0.000133
2025-02-23 2.198383e-05 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000088 0.000115 0.000150
2025-03-02 1.720824e-05 0.000028 0.000042 0.000061 0.000087 0.000118 0.000159
2025-03-09 1.392763e-05 0.000024 0.000039 0.000059 0.000087 0.000122 0.000169
2025-03-16 1.147052e-05 0.000022 0.000036 0.000058 0.000088 0.000127 0.000179
2025-03-23 9.656566e-06 0.000019 0.000034 0.000057 0.000090 0.000132 0.000191
2025-03-30 8.036790e-06 0.000017 0.000032 0.000056 0.000090 0.000136 0.000201
2025-04-06 6.475424e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000054 0.000090 0.000138 0.000208
2025-04-13 4.925015e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000050 0.000087 0.000137 0.000210
2025-04-20 3.959318e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000049 0.000086 0.000139 0.000217
2025-04-27 3.461825e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000051 0.000091 0.000151 0.000239
2025-05-04 2.790393e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000050 0.000094 0.000158 0.000255
2025-05-11 2.615680e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000054 0.000102 0.000175 0.000284
2025-05-18 2.118202e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000054 0.000105 0.000183 0.000301
2025-05-25 1.479801e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000051 0.000103 0.000183 0.000308
2025-06-01 1.068891e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000049 0.000102 0.000186 0.000318
2025-06-08 7.787166e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000048 0.000103 0.000190 0.000329
2025-06-15 5.799890e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000047 0.000104 0.000196 0.000343
2025-06-22 4.124185e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000046 0.000104 0.000200 0.000355
2025-06-29 2.654657e-07 0.000003 0.000015 0.000045 0.000103 0.000201 0.000363
2025-07-06 1.423840e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000042 0.000100 0.000199 0.000365